Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

Friday, May 28th, 2010

We are a quarter of the way into the 2010 Major League Baseball season and some unique trends are starting to take shape. Before you wager on the Arizona Diamondbacks make sure you are aware of these trends.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are having a difficult season so far. Currently with 40 games into this 2010 season the Diamondbacks are in last place of the National League West division with a record of 16-24. Not that they were expected to win the division this season but there are already 7.5 games behind the first place San Diego Padres. But don’t let that stop you from wagering on Diamondbacks games with your baseball handicapping.

Although there are no significant trends this season giving reason to wager directly on the Diamondbacks there are some trends recommending to wager on the totals in Diamondbacks games. The Diamondbacks are definitely a team that is capable of scoring some runs this season. Here is what my baseball betting system tells me.

With the 40 Diamondbacks games played so far, 66% of them have gone over the total. That is 2 out of every 3 games. Making this more interesting is that out of 13 day games this season the Diamondbacks are 10-1-2 as a over play or 91%. When facing a left handed starting pitcher the Diamondbacks are 8-1-1 as over play or 89%. Against a right handed starting pitcher the over play drops to a 59% cover. The Diamondbacks while playing on the road have a record against the total of 15-5-2 or 75%.

These are some really strong numbers emphasizing playing the Diamondbacks over the total. Once again play Diamondbacks over in day games where 91% of the games have gone over the total. Play the Diamondbacks over when facing starting left handed pitcher, 89% of those games have gone over the total. Then also play the Diamondbacks over the total when playing on the road as 75% of those games have gone over.

Sorry to say there are no positive trends this season to bet on the Diamondbacks to win a ballgame, but few trends do exist to bet against the Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks are just 5-10 or 33% against opponents in their own NL West division. As the underdog the Diamondbacks are 8-15 or 35%. In those same 13 day games where the Diamondbacks have gone over the total 91% of the time they have only won 5 out those13 games or 39%.

It has been a bleak season for the Diamondbacks. As a baseball handicapper you need to take advantage of these weaknesses as the Diamondbacks will probably continue to perform like this throughout the season. To become a sports betting champ you need to know when teams are vulnerable and bet against them and know when a team is to peak. Unfortunately for the Diamondbacks it’s all about betting against them or betting over the total.

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Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Friday, May 28th, 2010

We are a quarter of the way into the 2010 Major League Baseball season and some interesting trends are beginning to take shape. Before you wager on the Baltimore Orioles make sure you are aware of these trends.

The Baltimore Orioles are having a horrible season thus far. Currently with 41 games into this 2010 season the Orioles are in last place in the American League East with a record of 13-28. Now the A.L. East is very tough division and the Orioles were far from expected to win the division. In this early season they are already 16.5 games behind the first place Tampa Bay Rays. That does not mean that the Orioles are not worth wagering on. There are many favorable situations discovered from my baseball handicapping on when to wager on Baltimore Orioles games.

The Baltimore Orioles are having another losing season. They are very few bright spots when looking at the Orioles statistics, but as with any team my baseball betting system will always find favorable betting angles in which to wager on the Orioles.

I wish I could tell the Orioles are a good bet at home. I wish I could tell that they play well on the road or against lefties. The fact is they have no strong betting angles that favor them. The Orioles play consistently bad ball regardless of the circumstances. When I have teams like this the only way I am able to profit of them is bet on the total. There are so few worthy cases known to wager on the Orioles. To bet against them usually will require laying such a big price that I just prefer to bet the total and risk a big price. Now some people will say play them on the run where you can get 1.5 runs. I myself avoid run lines but if you are to bet on the Orioles to win do bet them on the run line getting 1.5 runs. That is their strongest statistic as they are 7-8 in one run games. They do lose quite a few games by one run.

Like I mentioned before I plan making my wagers involving the Orioles in total bets. They are a low scoring team with only 14 out 27 games going over the total thus far. Even better on the road, as the O’s, have gone under the total 6 out 15 times or 71%. In night games the O’s have gone under the total 20 out 27 times or 74%. Two times they pushed playing at night. Those are times I will be looking to wager the O’s in a under bet.

To become a sports betting champ you need to know when teams are vulnerable and bet against them and know when a team is to peak. Unfortunately for the O’s as they just can not consistently win this season I am forced to only considered betting them on total bets. Preferably betting the under as that is the one consistency they show.

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Baseball Handicapper’s Favorite Team

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

As a person familiar with baseball handicapping it is important to not have a favorite team. Betting with your heart can be costly. But there is one team this season that as a handicapper you really can not help but take a liking to them.

Ask most handicappers what is their favorite team and they will tell you whatever team they have money on. Well that maybe true but what about a team that has a record over .500 and is consistently an attractive high paying underdog. Making it even better, out of the first 39 games this 2010 season this team was only a favorite twice. They have a ROI (Return on Investment) of 10.6 units. Is that any good? The team is the Washington Nationals of the National League East Division.

What I am saying that the Nationals have been listed as an underdog 37 out of 39 games this season yet they have a winning record. How can that be you may ask. If you would have bet $100 on the Nationals every game this season you would have a profit of $1060. Not bad since all you would have to do is just bet the Nationals nothing else considered. The general betting public is stuck thinking the Nationals are a lousy team with no talent. Sometime I wonder do some of these people even look at the standings.

To make things even more interesting, the Nationals this season while playing at home have won 58% of their games. 17 of those 19 home games the Nationals were listed and the underdog. Why people don’t realize this shows that the average person betting on a ballgame does not do the necessary research. Betting the Nationals at home as the underdog is very profitable this season yet very few betters seem to catch on.

Just the opposite is true about the Chicago Cubs. Many people think they are a contender and believe that the Cubs when home at Wrigley make a great bet. The fact is the Cubs are not good this season as usual. They are only winning 43% of their games yet they have been the favorite in 31 out 39 games this season. I know there are a lot of Cubs fans nationwide. They are on national television often either on Fox Network or WGN but you can see how the general public bets with the heart not with the facts.

The point is public perception of a ball club can be way off from reality. As a baseball handicapper you need to look past that and take advantage of it. Statistics and a proven baseball betting system is what makes a handicapper a sports betting champ. We need the system to keep us in line so we don’t bet routinely on teams like the Cubs or bet against the Nationals when playing at home. Follow the system and not public perception and you will profit.

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Basics Of Betting On Baseball

Tuesday, May 18th, 2010

Betting on baseball games is one of the easier or let’s say less frustrating sports to wager on. With 162 games in a season, baseball offers numerous statistics, trends and betting angles that you will not develop as easily in football or basketball.

The first thing you need to understand about placing a wager on baseball is the money line. Unlike football and basketball whose betting lines are set with a point spread, baseball mainly uses a money line. The difference is with a point spread bet it does not matter which team wins the game but only which team covers the spread. Many times a team will win the game but not win by enough points to cover the point spread. This is very frustrating especially when your team fails to play defense towards the end of the game allowing the opposition to easily score as it will end the game quicker and not jeopardize their victory. In Baseball the line is calculated with a money line so you only have to win the game to cash your ticket. The drawback is the payout differs according to the money line price but a win is a win. Now let it be known that if you really like point spreads most sports books do offer a run line bet which is similar to the point spread.

Pitching, baseball handicapping is primarily based on pitching. You will notice this as the line between two teams will change according to the starting pitching. As you may guess, the popular and well known pitchers come at a higher price than the not so popular pitchers. The secret here is that many times when an All Star pitcher takes the mound the price is high even if he is having a poor season. This is because the general betting public will bet his team solely due his well know name as he gets the start. Many of general betting public will not bother to analyze the most current statistics this driving up the price on the All Star pitcher. In many cases the lesser known pitcher will be having a better season and be priced for a nice payout simply because he not as popular to the general betting public.

Keep in mind that a sports books main objective is get equal betting dollars on both teams that are to play each other. A sports book manager may believe that one team will beat the other team by 10 points but they set the line at a 5 point spread so that the general betting public will be split down the middle. Many times the general betting public’s conception is faulty and the line needs to account for that.

Totals in baseball are just like in football or basketball. You simply bet whether the game will go over or under the number posted for the total. You need to realize that in total bets the number is heavily based on the starting pitching. Therefore when you bet a baseball total the starting pitchers are listed by name on your ticket. This mean they must take the start or you bet is returned for a refund. By take the start they must each make the first pitch of the first inning. However, it is rare there is a pitching change that close to game start. Most baseball lines are posted the morning of the game after pitching changes have been made but stuff does happen.

Any time you make a baseball bet you can request to have the pitchers listed on your ticket. This is done if you are betting a side strictly because of the starting pitcher. If for some reason that pitcher is rescheduled for any reason you bet is voided. Many people do not realize this and think the ticket in action.

In order to win consistently in baseball you need to follow a baseball betting strategy.

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Baseball Handicapping Tips

Friday, May 14th, 2010

If you ever wagered on a baseball game you probably have discovered that it is one of the more profitable sports to bet on. Unfortunately, many are not able to see this and rather bet on one of the other sports where they believe winning is more likely.

No doubt, it takes a lot of time to handicap the sport of baseball. With 162 games in a season and games played daily you need to pay close attention. There are numerous team, individual and ballpark statistics that constantly need to be analyzed. Following statistics as part of a handicapping system is a vital process in covering your baseball picks. Here are a few suggestions to help eliminate some unnecessary handicapping and shorten your work load.

It is good idea to avoid betting on any baseball team that is favorite, that is has a price greater than -1.50, don’t even look at this teams. The philosophy on this is that routinely betting on teams of -1.50 or means that you will have to cover 3 out 4 bets to have any chance to turn a winning profit. With high prices like this one loss feels two loses maybe even like three loses. If all you like are high priced favorites then you want to simply parlay the teams in groups of two. A Parlay on the two favorites at least offers a valuable return.

Many handicappers like to play the run line when betting baseball. This is risky so make sure to avoid betting on a home favorite with the run line. The reason here is the home team needs to win by 2 or more runs to win on the run line. We all know the home team if ahead in the middle of the 9th inning does not have to bat to complete the inning the game is simply over now. If the game is tied at the bottom of the 9th inning as soon the home team scores one run the game is over regardless how many outs there are. Unless there is a home run with men on base you have little chance to cover this bet. That lack of batting appearance can work against you.

Baseball is a game of streaks. If a team wins or losses 3 games in a row it is considered to be streak. You want to avoid betting against a team that is currently in a streak. Does not matter, a winning streak or losing streak. Either bet within the streak or avoid the action all together. I like to bet on the streak until it ends that is as long as the betting price is not too high.

At last, either avoid or bet against a pitcher that is making his major league debut. This is a huge psychological battle the first time starter is going through. We know the physical battle part but getting your first start puts the pitcher in a risky position as they are being battle tested for the first time.

If you find yourself only interested in betting on teams with high prices (greater than -1.50) then consider putting them in a 2 team parlay or a 3 team round robin betting the 2 and 3 options. I prefer not to bet the run line laying the 1.5 runs. The main reason I favor betting on baseball is because of the money line where I only have to outright win the game to cash my ticket. I hate backdoor covers!

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