NFL Picks & NFL Forum

Tuesday, September 14th, 2010

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BOOYAHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!! Wow!! Awesome insight, stats and thoughts from all. Really appreciate the numbers habfan….I know how much time it takes to dig up comparisons. Anyways great advice and great picks from all. should be a great game, great defense, two good QBs, plenty of stories between DM & TO I don’t know who’s gonna win, Eagles will score some points no matter what Dallas’ defense try because I assume DM & JW are at their best & healthy. More I look at this game, in my opinion the key to this game is the Eagles’ Defense, especially Pass D. If Eagles’ D somehow can minimize damages, Eagles can win, easier said than done. I don’t really like the matchup between Romo & Eagles’ Cornerbacks, so big burden will be placed on the shoulder of Eagles’ pass rushers against massive Offensive linemen of Dallas. I think, that will be the deciding factor in this game. Doesn’t look like too many discrepancies but this is what NFL Picks I went with…

4U MARION THE BARBARIAN UNDER 82.5 – Well I’m only gonna use the relevant stats of when McNabb and Blowmoe were around. Barber has not passed this total in any game that he has faced the Eagles. Let’s be honest he shared the carries with Julius Jones but let’s go back the last 3 games…Barber 32 yds/Jones 5 yds., Barber 56 yds/Jones 57 yds., Barber 3 yds/Jones 38 yds. The point the Eagles #7 ranked last season vs. the run don’t give up much on the ground…period. Plus Barber sustained a bruise rib and his other partner RB Felix Jones ran for 62 yds on 9 carries last week. I think the Boys brass will take precautions here and make this a tandem much like Barber/Jones over the years.

9U LONGEST PASS UNDER 53.5 – Well gang this is the biggest number I’ve seen since Brady faced off against P. Manning. If it goes over so be it. These nos. won’t be soothing … since Blowmoe started for the Boys…the last 3 games hth between these 2…the longest passes for those 3 games were….53, 65, 53….HAHAHA!!! 1/2 yd Unders in two of the 3 matches. It’s just principle to take a number like that under.

13U 1st Half Under 23.5 – It’s MNF and the Public is all over the over and America’s team is on. But, this divisional rivalry game should be a close, tight one in my opinion…21-17 for someone. Therefore 23.5 pts. seems like alot to me especially with 2 good defenses. Last 2 games in Dallas during Blowmoe/McNabb era were unders in the 1st half with 10 pts. and 20 pts.

I will avoid the Patriots because of the points and I’m playing Washington team that has found it mark and facing Arizona, a team that stinks on the road. At -3.0 it’s worth it even for a push!!! I am also going to give the Bills a go. -9.5 is scary at first glance but the smothering defence of Buffalo who will go 3-0 with a win, will key on the Raiders running game which is all they have.

Well There you Have it Gangaroo!

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NFL Football Picks & NFL Analysis

Friday, September 10th, 2010

NFL Picks

Hey Gang…in Stittsville (Read between the 2 S’s..lol) but on my way home. Decided to take a few minutes to post my plays. If someone else could do it…that would be great but if not I’ll Cut & Paste the Odds when I get home tonite. Just a pain in ther butt to do it in a restaurant on a Blackberry…HAHAHA!!! Anyways, been told it will be below freezing temperatures by gametime with possibility on and off snowsqualls from the Lake Effect throughout the game. Both teams lack the big running attack. But, I don’t think either qb is dominating due to youth. Based on that I went with the following…

1U Brady Quinn Under 21.5 Completions – Yes Quinn had 23 completions in his first start last week but to ask him to repeat that performance in front of 80,000 people on the road in the cold is a big task at hand IMO. Twenty-two completions is alot on a cold day from a young lad starting just his 2nd game.

2U Marshawn Lynch Under 78.5 yds.- Lynch missed a start but in his other 7 starts Lynch has gone over 78.5 yds. only once and barely at that … with an 83 yd. performance vs. the lowly Raiders. Yes I agree the Browns have given up huge yardage on the ground this season but then again look at their schedule and they had one of the toughest ones in the NFL. They got torched by some good running teams in the Giants, Ravens, Steelers and Broncos…well the Broncos are no longer an elite running team but then again with Bell resigned they are starting to look good. Point in hand the Bills are not a running machine like the Steelers, Giants nor Ravens.

6U Sacks Under 4.5 – Can’t remember which sacks are for or against as I have the stats at home by my desktop. But, the Browns and Bills rank near the bottom defensively in the league in terms of obtaining sacks. Browns had totals of sacks for and against of 27 and Bills had totals of sacks for and against of 39 and when you avg. that out over the 18 games played that comes out to 3.66 sacks which is almost an entire sack under 4.5. Youngsters Quinn and Edwards are pretty mobile as well.

Also liked Winslow Over….and this was a coinflip between Winslow Over and Quinn Under but with a $60 wager and higher odds with Quinn …. if the tic came in it would pay .57x more which equates to $34 which essentially covers more than 1/2 my wager so I went with the higher and greedier pay-out.

Well There you Have it Gang!

Love to hear your thoughts and Picks!!

$60 pays $311

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NFLX Week 3 Picks

Friday, September 10th, 2010

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G’day TMB’ers!

Starting a separate thread since I’m embarassed of this thread’s lousy content … vs. Changster’s expertised Soccer write-up and vs paulleejs splendid NFLX write-up. Yep this is truly a thread gone wrong !! lol But, hey even Einstein had to come up with Simple Algebraic Patterns before tackling the more sophisticated one. So how simple can today’s picks be 10-11-12 … well I guess 1-2-3 would be easier!!! HAHAHAHAHA!!!! Stickin’ to the NFLX Week 3 today even tho’ I’ve been torn an extra ahole from this unpredictable crap. Someone pass the rectal fix cause I’m thrusting deep into the dark unknown cavities of the NFLX Preseason Play again!!!!

10H BALTIMORE RAVENS @ 1.90 OVER NEW YORK GIANTS –

Look, John Harbaugh plays to win 5-1 Against the Spread (ATS) in the Baltimore Ravens last 6 preseason games. Not sure about Eli Manning’s status for the game but can’t see him playing too long after his forehead contusion that he incurred in an earlier preseason game. Back-up Sorgi is out clearing way for Bomar to play most of the game for the New York Giants and I really doubt he’ll have much success vs. a good Baltimore Raven’s defense.

11H HOUSTON TEXANS @ 2.00 OVER DALLAS COWBOYS –

Eeeeeeeeeeeeeekkk!!! Houston Texans have shown nothin’ so far in the preseason other than their defense sucks moose dongs. But, after 2 road losses to start the preseason they should be jacked to finally get a chance to play in front of a homecrowd. As Orlovsky and Schaub will be splitting the QB duties for the Houston Texans and the offshore sportsbook line has climbed from -3 to -5 in most places for the Houston Texans.
Value Play baby!!!

12H MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ 1.60 OVER SEATLLE SEAHAWKS –

Good god you gotta figure Breet Favre is gonna get more than 4 snaps this time out!! RETIRE already!!! Ok we’re all fed up with the Brett Favre retirement and outta retirement story. But, heck he’s a Hall of Famer baby and the Seahags are pure trash!!! Whether it’s Brett Favre, Jackson or Rosenfels the Seahawks will not be able to stop the pass or the the run with Pederson cause they SUCK!!!! First Preseason game at home in the dome for the Minnesota Vikings so BYE, BYE SEATTLE!!!

Well There you have it Gang!

$50 Pays $304

GL to All!

P.S. Have leans to the Chicago Bears … Arizona Cardinals on short week and travel has been excruciating. Phillies as they have owned the Padres at Petco and have owned Garland. Longshot lean to the Arizona D’backs as well as youngster Hudson has impressed while Zito has lost 5 straight decisions and has been owned by the Arizona D’backs. These would be my offshore sportsbook picks.

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2010 Online Betting Guide: NFL Football

Thursday, August 19th, 2010

2010 Online Betting Guide: NFL Picks

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NFL Picks From A Legitimate Handicapper

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

Free NFL Picks From a Legitimate Handicapper

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