Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Friday, May 28th, 2010

We are a quarter of the way into the 2010 Major League Baseball season and some interesting trends are beginning to take shape. Before you wager on the Baltimore Orioles make sure you are aware of these trends.

The Baltimore Orioles are having a horrible season thus far. Currently with 41 games into this 2010 season the Orioles are in last place in the American League East with a record of 13-28. Now the A.L. East is very tough division and the Orioles were far from expected to win the division. In this early season they are already 16.5 games behind the first place Tampa Bay Rays. That does not mean that the Orioles are not worth wagering on. There are many favorable situations discovered from my baseball handicapping on when to wager on Baltimore Orioles games.

The Baltimore Orioles are having another losing season. They are very few bright spots when looking at the Orioles statistics, but as with any team my baseball betting system will always find favorable betting angles in which to wager on the Orioles.

I wish I could tell the Orioles are a good bet at home. I wish I could tell that they play well on the road or against lefties. The fact is they have no strong betting angles that favor them. The Orioles play consistently bad ball regardless of the circumstances. When I have teams like this the only way I am able to profit of them is bet on the total. There are so few worthy cases known to wager on the Orioles. To bet against them usually will require laying such a big price that I just prefer to bet the total and risk a big price. Now some people will say play them on the run where you can get 1.5 runs. I myself avoid run lines but if you are to bet on the Orioles to win do bet them on the run line getting 1.5 runs. That is their strongest statistic as they are 7-8 in one run games. They do lose quite a few games by one run.

Like I mentioned before I plan making my wagers involving the Orioles in total bets. They are a low scoring team with only 14 out 27 games going over the total thus far. Even better on the road, as the O’s, have gone under the total 6 out 15 times or 71%. In night games the O’s have gone under the total 20 out 27 times or 74%. Two times they pushed playing at night. Those are times I will be looking to wager the O’s in a under bet.

To become a sports betting champ you need to know when teams are vulnerable and bet against them and know when a team is to peak. Unfortunately for the O’s as they just can not consistently win this season I am forced to only considered betting them on total bets. Preferably betting the under as that is the one consistency they show.

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Baseball Handicapper’s Favorite Team

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

As a person familiar with baseball handicapping it is important to not have a favorite team. Betting with your heart can be costly. But there is one team this season that as a handicapper you really can not help but take a liking to them.

Ask most handicappers what is their favorite team and they will tell you whatever team they have money on. Well that maybe true but what about a team that has a record over .500 and is consistently an attractive high paying underdog. Making it even better, out of the first 39 games this 2010 season this team was only a favorite twice. They have a ROI (Return on Investment) of 10.6 units. Is that any good? The team is the Washington Nationals of the National League East Division.

What I am saying that the Nationals have been listed as an underdog 37 out of 39 games this season yet they have a winning record. How can that be you may ask. If you would have bet $100 on the Nationals every game this season you would have a profit of $1060. Not bad since all you would have to do is just bet the Nationals nothing else considered. The general betting public is stuck thinking the Nationals are a lousy team with no talent. Sometime I wonder do some of these people even look at the standings.

To make things even more interesting, the Nationals this season while playing at home have won 58% of their games. 17 of those 19 home games the Nationals were listed and the underdog. Why people don’t realize this shows that the average person betting on a ballgame does not do the necessary research. Betting the Nationals at home as the underdog is very profitable this season yet very few betters seem to catch on.

Just the opposite is true about the Chicago Cubs. Many people think they are a contender and believe that the Cubs when home at Wrigley make a great bet. The fact is the Cubs are not good this season as usual. They are only winning 43% of their games yet they have been the favorite in 31 out 39 games this season. I know there are a lot of Cubs fans nationwide. They are on national television often either on Fox Network or WGN but you can see how the general public bets with the heart not with the facts.

The point is public perception of a ball club can be way off from reality. As a baseball handicapper you need to look past that and take advantage of it. Statistics and a proven baseball betting system is what makes a handicapper a sports betting champ. We need the system to keep us in line so we don’t bet routinely on teams like the Cubs or bet against the Nationals when playing at home. Follow the system and not public perception and you will profit.

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Handicapping Baseball On WHIP Statistic

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

Baseball is truly one of the most profitable sports to be on. baseball handicapping is skill one learns over time. If you want to win consistently betting on baseball then you will need to instill a baseball betting system.

There are many effective ways to handicap the sport of baseball. Since there are so many statistics, trends and different betting angles following a proven system is vital for success. Today I am going to talk about the pitching state WHIP.

There are many statistics that pertain to the pitcher. One of the stats is known as the WHIP stat. WHIP stands for Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched. This statistic is a measurement of the number of base runners the pitcher has allowed per inning. The statistic describes the pitcher’s ability to keep the batter from reaching base.

WHIP differs from ERA (earned run average) as it gives indication to how many batters the pitcher will allow to reach base per inning pitched. ERA tells us the average number of runs the pitcher will allow over 9 innings of play. To calculate a pitcher’s WHIP you will add the number of walks and hits allowed then divide the sum by the number of innings pitched. The lower a pitcher’s WHIP the better they are pitching.

The pitcher to hold the lowest single season WHIP is Pedro Martinez. Back in the 2000 season as a member of the Boston Red Sox. Martinez gave up 128 hits and 32 walks over 217 innings. We calculate the WHIP by adding the number of walks and runs together which is 128 + 32 = 160. Then we divide 160 by 217 or the number of innings pitched and we get 0.7373. Martinez had 18 wins and 6 losses as a starting pitcher that season.

As you can see this is a very simple statistics to calculate and is a great indication of the pitchers overall performance. Where the pitchers ERA will gives us indication of the runs scored WHIP is more specific as if indicates how many batters will reach base. Any WHIP under 1 is considered to be very good. As with all baseball statistics you never want to focus all your baseball handicapping off one statistic. WHIP is a great statistics to compare two pitchers on but be sure to value the other important statistics as well.

A baseball betting system takes statistics like these to select winners. To be a sports betting champ you need to aware of these statistics and understand how they are calculated and what they mean. Not all statistics are equal. A pitcher’s Whip is a good indicator on deciding if a baseball game will go over or under the total.

When handicapping baseball from the starting pitcher’s statistics, look at both the WHIP and ERA of both starting pitcher’s. This is a great angle not only to help determine the which side shall win the games but tell us if we will have a high or low scoring ballgame.

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Sports Betting Tips Money Management

Tuesday, May 25th, 2010

Sportsbetting is huge business in and outside of the legal Nevada sportsbook With so many people eager to wager on sports it is no surprise that many mistakes are made the average better preventing them from making a profit.

This article is not to teach some unique betting angle but to remind you how important it is to follow a set rules when wagering in sports. So many times I see a person believe they have either inside information or a play that can’t lose sop they bet ten times their normal wagering and then lose the bet. Even if they win the bet chances are they will continue to make risky betting maneuvers until the money is gone.

Money management is so important to sports betting yet very little is ever mentioned about it. Selecting the right side in a sports competition is only half the job. Placing the appropriate amount of cash on the bet is just as important. I personally know of individuals who on Sunday full of games can select 5 out 7 winning teams and still lose a large amount of money.

Here are a few things you should be aware of in order to be a winning sports handicapper. First you need to have a sum of money to set aside as your bankroll. This money must not be money from you living expenses. Gambling with the rent money only makes if more difficult to select the right as the stress and fear of losing may affect proper decision making. Once you have your bankroll you then take the amount and multiply it by .05 or 5% to determine you betting unit. Your betting unit is the amount of an average bet. You never want to bet more than 20% of your bankroll on a single game or group of games. In other word, your 20% of the bankroll in total allowance for that day’s action.

Let me demonstrate this procedure. We will assume that we $1000 for our bankroll. That is money that is not needed for any of the current living expenses so instead of letting money sit in a saving account we are going to try to turn a profit with it. Now lets take $1000 x .05 (5%) = $50. This $50 is out betting unit. Now remember, we never want to wager more than 20% of the bankroll on a single game of groups of games. $1000 x .20 (20%) = $200. So our betting allowance for the day is $200. If we have a strong play we can bet as high as the $200 or we could make 4 separate bets of $50. Get the picture, there are many combination of bets the main thing is not to exceed $200 during the day.

Very few people follow such a simple procedure. They will bet the entire $1000 during the day not allowing any room for losing. Some will even bet a series of parlays which if hit pay nicely but the risk is just too great. If your follow simple money management like this the chances of turning a profit are common.

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Make Your Own Football Picks

Tuesday, May 25th, 2010

Betting on NFL Football games is common event on Sunday Afternoons. Most people wager in some kind of way whether it be for fun or for profit. There are many professionals handicappers out there that will sell you their picks. I say forget about them and make your own football picks.

I reside in Las Vegas where football betting is not only legal but an important part of our local economy. There are numerous sports books all over town and come this fall on Sundays they all will be packed with people. Just about everybody has a favorite NFL team and they usually will want to wager on that team.

There are many professional sports handicappers that will sell you their picks. You can purchase their preferred plays individually or in a package deal. They claim to have that extra something that produces you a winning pick. They also can charge a high price for their service. I am always amazed by just home many people use these services over and over again. Would it not be nice if you could have their handicapping system then you could determine the winning plays and not cough up money every week to get their football picks.

Most football betting systems include team power ratings, historical data and current trends to select the winning side. Now there are many different formulas to use in calculating power rating. None are perfect they are just used to give the handicapper some idea how the teams currently rank. Other factors like game location, injuries and revenge factors are hard to figure into power ratings. You not need to figure out your own power ratings as there are many posted from various sports sites. For the most part they all have similar numbers. When things begin to change is when you apply all the variables to the ratings.

Every match up has variables that can not be overlooked. As a football handicapper you need to apply injuries, past match ups, home field advantage and motivational factors to your power ratings. Some teams handle injuries better than others so you must be knowledgeable about backup players. Consider all past meetings the two teams have had recently. Revenge is huge in sports. Some teams are nearly unbeatable at home. You need to examine if their stadium is unique and creates a great advantage over other stadiums. Then there is the motivational factor. Some teams are in a trap within their schedule that affects their play. For example teams that lose on Monday Night Football on the road now have a short week to take the field again come Sunday. Always consider the games prior to and after the week of football you are handicapping. Power Ratings are a necessity but do not handicap by powers rating alone.

This is just small taste what an effectiveFootball betting system contains. You never want to over analyze any part of the game but you must be aware of all the variables and how they relate to that match up.

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