Betting NFL Preseason Football

Friday, May 28th, 2010

The NFL preseason can be very profitable to wager on. However many betters have no clue how to wager a NFL preseason football game. Many times football betters treat the preseason like the regular season and lose. Betting preseason football is entirely different than betting on a regular season game.

The NFL is truly the most popular sport in the United States. There are many reasons for this but that is not what is important. What is important because the NFL is so popular and tempting to wager on that many fans will not wait till opening day in September to start their football betting. Many fans will start betting in NFL games as soon as the NFL preseason starts. It is important preseason or not that you follow a football betting system.

Now if you are one those who loves the NFL so much that you will probably start betting in the preseason then there are a few tings you need to understand. Betting NFL preseason is very different than betting regular season games. We all know these are exhibition games where many unknown players are getting large amounts of play so the coaching staff can decide the fate of the player. This scares some people away from betting because they are not familiar with the unknown players. You can still make money on the preseason games but you must change your handicapping approach.

In the regular season the philosophy is that the best team shall win the games. This may not apply in preseason ball. When making football picks you need to research and discover which teams put more emphasis on winning and which teams traditionally fail to win preseason games. Let me give you an example.

Coach Jack Del Rio of the Jacksonville Jaguars is 18-10 straight up and 17-11 against the spread in preseason. Unfortunately last year in 2009, the Jags were just 1-3 straight up but only lost by a total combined 5 points in those 3 losses. Since Del Rio has been coaching the Jaguars they have always played well and usually win their preseason games. As a dog in the preseason the Jaguars are nearly perfect. Factor in that the Jaguars lost and failed to cover the last 4 games of the 2009 regular season makes them an interesting team to look at when the 2010 preseason starts.

To some coaches the preseason is about starting a winning streak and creating a winning atmosphere. Other coaches will lose the game simply because they are determined in playing weak unknown talent rather then make a few simple player adjustments to win the game. It comes down to just how important is it for a certain coaching staff to win a preseason game or to play their unknown players regardless if they can win or not.

New team coaches usually are eager to get that first win. Many times a new coach will make the first preseason game a priority to win in order to start a winning mentality. We have 3 teams with new coaches this coming 2010 season. The Washington Redskins with Mike Shanahan, the Seattle Seahawks with Pete Carroll and at last the Buffalo Bills with Chan Gailey. Look for these new coaches to make winning that first preseason a priority over everything else.

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Beware Betting On The Jacksonville Jaguars This Season

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

When asked what is the worst to NFL when it comes to football betting most people probably can help but think of the Detroit Lions. True they almost always have the worst record in the league but that doesn’t mean they don’t cover the spread from time to time. It is also true the Lions went winless in 2008 as they only covered 2 of 16 games last season against the spread. Despite all this the Jacksonville Jaguars over the last two seasons have the worst team to wager on.

The Jacksonville Jaguars were a playoff wining team back in 2007 but since then there has not been much to cheer about. Detroit may hold the honors for the team with the most straight up losses over the last two seasons but if you are betting on the Jaguars to cover point spreads then you are probably losing your money.

Over the last two NFL seasons the Jaguars are 12-20 straight up and 9-23 against the spread. The last two seasons the Jaguars have the worst record against the spread. That 9-23 mark means they only cover 2 out 5 games or 39%. The NFL average last season was 49.8% and the medium at 50%. The Jaguars are no where near that average number. In today’s NFL where parity is common with most teams around the 500 mark it is hard to imagine that a team talented as the Jaguars, fail to cover the spread so often.

What really make this so strange is that over the last two seasons the Jaguars were only outscored by an average of 4.8 points. Compare that to Detroit Lions who over the last two seasons were outscored by an average of 15.1 points per game. The Jaguars have taking some heavy beatings over the last two seasons losing many games by more than 15 points. When they win it usually is a close game. The Jaguars also lost the last four games straight up and against the spread last season.

It is safe to imagine the Jaguars are in a critical point right now. Another season like 2009 and you probably see a coaching change and several player transactions. Way things look it’s a risky move to bet on the Jaguars come September. The pressure they will face to get off to a respectable start is great. I would imagine if they experience a few close losses early that the whole season could fall apart.

The Jaguars are on team that will not be part of my September football picks as I plan on just observing for the first month of play to see just how they adjust to the situation. When it comes to my football betting system certain teams that I feel are in a desperate situation I will usually avoid

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Make Your Own Football Picks

Tuesday, May 25th, 2010

Betting on NFL Football games is common event on Sunday Afternoons. Most people wager in some kind of way whether it be for fun or for profit. There are many professionals handicappers out there that will sell you their picks. I say forget about them and make your own football picks.

I reside in Las Vegas where football betting is not only legal but an important part of our local economy. There are numerous sports books all over town and come this fall on Sundays they all will be packed with people. Just about everybody has a favorite NFL team and they usually will want to wager on that team.

There are many professional sports handicappers that will sell you their picks. You can purchase their preferred plays individually or in a package deal. They claim to have that extra something that produces you a winning pick. They also can charge a high price for their service. I am always amazed by just home many people use these services over and over again. Would it not be nice if you could have their handicapping system then you could determine the winning plays and not cough up money every week to get their football picks.

Most football betting systems include team power ratings, historical data and current trends to select the winning side. Now there are many different formulas to use in calculating power rating. None are perfect they are just used to give the handicapper some idea how the teams currently rank. Other factors like game location, injuries and revenge factors are hard to figure into power ratings. You not need to figure out your own power ratings as there are many posted from various sports sites. For the most part they all have similar numbers. When things begin to change is when you apply all the variables to the ratings.

Every match up has variables that can not be overlooked. As a football handicapper you need to apply injuries, past match ups, home field advantage and motivational factors to your power ratings. Some teams handle injuries better than others so you must be knowledgeable about backup players. Consider all past meetings the two teams have had recently. Revenge is huge in sports. Some teams are nearly unbeatable at home. You need to examine if their stadium is unique and creates a great advantage over other stadiums. Then there is the motivational factor. Some teams are in a trap within their schedule that affects their play. For example teams that lose on Monday Night Football on the road now have a short week to take the field again come Sunday. Always consider the games prior to and after the week of football you are handicapping. Power Ratings are a necessity but do not handicap by powers rating alone.

This is just small taste what an effectiveFootball betting system contains. You never want to over analyze any part of the game but you must be aware of all the variables and how they relate to that match up.

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2010 NFL Football Handicapping

Monday, May 24th, 2010

Here we are in the midst of May. NBA basketball is nearing the finals. Major League Baseball is in full swing and the NFL draft is completed as rookies take to their new teams.

Now is a perfect time to start handicapping football. Sure we are a long way from opening day but there have been many changes to NFL teams everywhere. Now is a good time to look back see which coaches changed teams or just left the game. Players have been traded and their will be teams will completely different styles of play coming this fall.

Before I get started talking about the new coaching changes let me say that in order to consistently win money handicapping football you need to follow a football betting system. Whatever you do this coming season please follow a system based on valid statistics and trends. Do not just bet your favorite teams and bet against the teams you dislike. Alright now let’s talk some about some coaching changes.

Unless you live under a rock you are probably well aware that the Washington Redskins fired Jim Zorn, hired Mike Shanahan and traded for Donovan McNabb. Former Redskin QB Jason Campbell is now an Oakland Raider. This is old news now, some like it, some say doesn’t matter. The one thing is for sure that at the Washington Redskins will get plenty of coverage and are major topic so far of many sports talk shows. Personally, I love this move but what I want to emphasize is since this move has gotten so much media attention we tend to overlook the other coaching changes.

Did you realize that 2 other teams have new coaches as well? Maybe you are aware that the Seattle Seahawks fired Jim Mora replacing him with Pete Carroll from University of Southern California. Most speculated that Carroll would leave college football for the NFL someday so this was not a shocker. It is sad that Jim Mora only got one season as head coach with the Seahawks however the decision to clean house was made as the Seahawks also have a new GM in John Schneider. The life of an NFL coach is not always easy nor is it fair.

The last team to change coaches is the Buffalo Bills. This one you may not be aware of as this is third coach in the last year and you may just not care to follow it anymore. You may recall Dick Jauron was head coach the start of last season. He was fired from that position on November 17, 2009 as the bills were just 3-6 and not looking like a playoff team. Defensive Coordinator Perry Fewell was named interim head coach. The Bills finished the season 6-10. Fewell was replaced with Chan Gailey. Gailey’s last job was offensive coordinator for the Kansas City Chiefs. He was dismissed from that position last August just 2 weeks before opening day. Before that he was the head coach at Georgia Tech. where he went 44-33 before being fired in 2007. Before that you probably remember him most as the Dallas Cowboys head coach. He went 18-14 as Cowboys head coach and was fired at the end of the season in 1999. With some of the well know coaching names out there I was surprised to the Bills hire Gailey. Funny, the Bills seem to always hire either unknown coaches or coaches who are at the end of their career. Bill Cowher would have been an awesome move for the Bills, oh well.

There you have it, the coaching changes for the 2010 NFL season. Not that many change’s this off season but all should have great impacts on their prospective teams. I personally like to pay close attention to teams with new coached to see what changes are being made with the roster and assistant coaches. I expect much change for all 3 teams

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How To Be A Winning Sports Handicapper

Monday, May 10th, 2010

Jim Feist is one of many successful sports handicappers. He is very well known Nevada and sports betting world. His web site is professional and filled with sports

information. He has several other well known handicappers who are part of his sports betting service. They are fine handicappers. They know there sports and they know how to make money betting sports. For a fee they will share their knowledge with you. There are numerous packagers and plans you can purchase and gain their inside access to the world of sports betting. But what if you are seeking an alternative route to achieve winning selections. A method in which you would not need to purchase these expensive selections but come up with you own winning sports plays. Would you be interested?

Jim Feist is like many Las Vegas sports handicappers. They work hard and most of all they have a proven winning system in place. This system gives them the plays they sell to you. This betting system is the base of their business. Professional handicappers like Jim Feist will sell you all the selections you could ever want but don’t expect them to sell you their system that produces these winning plays.

To obtain a proven sports betting system you need to either create one yourself of purchase one from someone who know what they are doing. Creating your own system can be very time consuming. You need to take in account of all the necessary stats, current and past. Then you need to consider performance trends, weather conditions and several other variables. Once you have all this together and able to create mathematical formula based on the betting line, then you are ready to test your new system. To accurately test a betting system you will need to play it over a course of a full season and examine how much you profit. Remember a good system just does not work for a short stint but consistently over a season.

The easier way to get your hands a proven winning sports selection system is to purchase one. Now be careful there are many systems that make outrageous claims. Some even say that they hit over 90 percent winners. Think again, if that was true sports books would go out of business. No, an honest and effective sports betting method will achieve a win rate about 60 to 70 percent. That is good enough, along with proper money management to earn a nice profit over a course of a season. There is no such thing as a sure thing, so money management is crucial in sports betting. If you are looking for such a winning system make sure you follow it properly and take it one game at a time.

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