Under The Proverbial

Wednesday, August 19th, 2009

Under the Proverbial “Radar”….The Yankees???

By
Joseph J Tuttle
My heading might not be suggestive enough, but these numbers tell quite a telling tale:

On July 1st the LA Dodgers were to only team in baseball with (50) wins. Additionally, betting the Yankees had the 4th best record, and were (5) full wins behind LA. Now (as of August 16th), the Yanks have the best record in baseball @ (74-44), and they also possess the largest division lead (@ 7.5 over Boston), of all six divisions.

Currently (at most legitimate sportbooks), the Yankees can be purchased at odds of +225 to +250 to win the World Series. Personally, I think that is a GREAT “LTI” (Long-Term Investment), and allow me to expound a bit more….

On July 1st, the LA Dodgers still had the most wins in MLB, and were STILL (5) wins better than the Yanks. So, what’s the primary reason for these two teams current progression/regression states, and why I believe the Yanks to now be a small overlay @ +250?

Well, here are the facts: The Yanks have done what they’ve always done (since June 1st) they have an overall record of (29-10, and that includes today’s loss) vs. ALL teams with .500 or worse win percentages. I’ve referred to this as….”Beating-up on the bad teams”, in my book called “Betting Baseball 09″. Link to buy @ http://budurl.com/2gza Throughout all of the 90′s the Atlanta Braves and the New York Yankees were GREAT at “Beating-up on the bad teams”, and it led to a lot of their team’s successes; in my humble opinion.

At the risk of sounding redundant; on July 1st the Dodgers were (50-29), and the Yankees were (45-32) and since; the Yanks have gone (29-12), and the Dodgers are a mere (20-19), since July 1st. What caused this clear dichotomy? The Yanks since June 1st have played 9-more games vs. sub-.500 teams, and have an overall record of (29-10) versus such teams! And, the Dodgers are only a poultry (16-14) versus the same caliber opponent – within the same time-frame/parameters. The LA Dodgers are currently priced @ +450 or +500 at most books.

The “Value” clearly lies on the side of the Yankees! And just in case you were curious; the Yanks only play (4) more games this month vs. sub-.500 opponents!

This is the kind of “due-diligence necessary to become a winning professional gambler. And, whether you simply do not have the time nor the inclination to do this kind of research; all the more reason to becoming a paying member of either of my two sports betting advice websites!

www.totallyteasersonly.com or www.fbw4ever.com Allow my 152IQ to work for YOU, this Football Season!

p.s. Yesterday’s blog was accidentally deleted. My (6) NFL totals went (2-4). But, in my defense, two lost by 3 points or less!!!

Signed,

Joseph J Tuttle

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Inside My Numbers…..By Joseph J Tuttle

Monday, August 10th, 2009

Many years ago I devised a mathematical formula for detecting “good value bets” within the realm of MLB totals. But, I must admit, these numbers that I’m about to divulge are quite “subjective”. They’re “subjective”, in the regard that a lot of “Line Interpretation” needs to be employed; in properly deciphering which way to go! I’m NOT gambling on sports to post these three games (at random) from each league.

As I’ve written about in ALL of my sports betting books (which are available by typing in my full name, Joseph J. Tuttle, at Amazon.com), I firmly believe that by adding a level an element of randomness to your handicapping; it will lead to an added level of “objectivity”, as well as “subjectivity”.

NL GAMES….

STL @ PITT: 6.32 on a 7-u posted total……NO BET, very “tight line”!

ARIZ @ WASH: 6.83 on a 9-o posted total…..I like this one to stay “Under-9″.

FLA @ PHILLY: 7.25 on a 9-u posted total….I think this “Under-9″ is a very safe play.

AL GAMES….

BOST @ YANKS: 6.96 on a 9-o posted total…..After the fireworks last night, I believe that the “Under-9″ in this game is A GREAT BET!!!!!! Mainly, because it falls under the angle of a DFR (Drastic Form Reversal). A few days ago I sold the LA Dodgers (as my 19.95 Game of the Day, when they won 17-4 vs. MILW), and the very next day the same two teams played a very easy “Under”!

TB @ SEA: 6.70 on a 7.5 posted total……Felix The Cat has played only 3 overs in his last 14 starts!!! But, the Niemann kid for Tampa Bay is due for a shelling!!!! I’m leaning towards the “Over-7.5″ in this contest.

CLEV @ CWS: 7.34 on a 9-u posted total…..Well, after Mark Buehrle pitched almost 2 consecutive no-hitters, he was lit-up like a Christmas Tree last time out! So (at least in my World), he’s now in a natural “state of progression”, and as such, I will take a small shot on the one to stay “Under-9″.

www.totallyteasersonly.com and www.fbw4ever.com for ALL of your gambling needs!!!! Especially, for the impending College & Pro Football Season. Remember, I’m the founder/creator of “Predictive Scoring”!!!

Signed,

Joseph J Tuttle

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