In this posting, there will be many different stats for you to decipher/disseminate. All of the stats listed are 100% accurate and true, in these baseball games. It took me approximately 96 minutes to handicap the (6) games that I’m going to write about.
All of these games are for: 07/27/09 (no order of preference, ok, maybe my own…lol)
TOR @ SEA…Starts @10:10EST
Felix Hernandez might be the best kept secret in MLB, with guys like Danny Haren, Tim Lincecum, and Roy Halladay getting all of the proverbial ink.
Did you know that…??
He is undefeated (6-0), over his last 10. He’s had 10 consecutive “quality starts”, and his team has gone (9-1) over his last 10 trips to the mound! And for the uninitiated, a quote unquote quality start, is when a pitcher goes for six or more innings and gives up three runs or less. Additionally, Felix Hernandez has a gaudy (but not as gaudy as Haren or Lincecum) 3.6 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio!
(137/38)
His counterpart, Ricky Romero (for Toronto), is coming off of two consecutive poor outings. But, he was the pitcher of the month in the American League (in my humble opinion) for the month of June. Young Mr. Romero is in a state of progression (as it pertains to) baseball betting and because Felix Hernandez has been able to defy my progression regression rationale (over his last five starts I might add), there’s absolutely no reason to believe that he will not regress, tomorrow night.
But, I’m going to allow you to decide… whether or not you think I am correct or not???
DET @ TEX….Starts @ 8:05EST
Galarraga (the pitcher for Detroit), is coming off of a no decision versus the above mentioned Felix Fernandez. That game, was a to one final in which I twitted (www.twitter.com/tuttleshak) that I liked Seattle and the under! But, over the year and a half that I’ve scouted Galarraga; I’ve come one resounding conclusion, he, is a headcase! Additionally, he’s not a very good road pitcher.
The game comes up as a 7.67 on 10 number. But, I do see the reasoning behind the oddsmakers inflating this line…. but I’m going to allow you to decide! Do you see the theme going on here? I know for sure, whether or not this game is going to stay under 10 or go over 10, if you would also like to “know”, simply pay 19.95 (the one-day service plan) @ www.fbw4ever.com. And if the play were to lose, you’ll receive a full week of service free of charge!!!
PITT @ SF….Starts @ 10:15EST
Now as all my followers know, over the last year and a half, I’ve quite literally grown to love the young Tim Lincecum. I have even referred to it as a “Bro-mance”. The kid is truly a freak, and the money that is made me over the last year and a half, has got to be approaching 25 or $30,000! I keep incredibly close tabs on young Mr. Tim, and that’s not going to change anytime in the future.
His team is coming off of back-to-back losses (of game studies started, this season) for the first time in over a full calendar year! So, needless to say, I think the Giants tomorrow like stealing money! But, who wants to lay -230? I know I don’t! So, it forces you to play the total. And the total on this particular matchup, comes up as a 6.82, and the number is posted currently at (7). TIGHT LINE, NO BET! Or, you could take a chance on the over.
OAK @ BOST….Starts @ 7:10EST
again, just like the game mentioned above, one is forced to play the total in said game, because, Josh Beckett is currently at -320. The current posted total is at 8/2, but the game comes up as a 7.20. Therein lies some very good value, and as such, I get the under a very high recommendation.
Actually, Boston-1.5 @ -140, could be a good investment. The Oakland Athletics have a below-average 19-31 road record, they’re going nowhere, and to really put things in perspective, over the last seven games they’ve scored 49 runs and have a record of (3-4)! Now, I’m going to mention three teams that score comparable amounts of the last seven games (and two of which, also have an overall losing record for the season, like Oakland). The Phillies (6-1), the Indians (6-1), and the Arizona Diamondbacks (4-3), all have scored roughly 50-runs, over their last 7 games.
But, I’m going to allow you to decide….
Finally, we come to my strongest play of the night (that I’m willing to give away for free), but by no means is my strongest play the night overall! Remember the beginning, I said I handicap six total games?
COLO @ METS…..Starts @ 7:10EST
This a very unusual game, as pursuant to my number system (for predicting Maj. league baseball totals), this game came up a 10.39. Yet for some reason, the posted total is only 8.5!!! This clearly becomes a case in point of what I like to refer to as “line Interpretation”. Why would the oddsmakers inflate this line almost 2 full runs? Especially, when will the two pitchers had the builders from 98 miles an hour (U Jimenez, of Colorado). Furthermore, the Mets are about to embark on a 10 day-10 game homestand. And that they can somehow manage to (8-2), I believe they’ll be right back in the thick of the wild card race! So, should you trust in my number system and play the under? Or play the Mets because of what I just wrote???
I’m going to allow you to decide…lol!
And for the record, my strongest play of the night (and because I’m still very generous mood) I will give free of charge, to everyone/anyone that goes to fbw4ever.com and paid the 19.95 for the one-day service plan. So, you’ll actually be getting two games for the price of one, and my strongest play of the day!
The game in question, is between Cleveland at Anaheim. And that games started 10:05 Eastern standard Time… don’t get shut out!!!!!
Signed,
Joseph J Tuttle
