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Under the Proverbial “Radar”….The Yankees???

By
Joseph J Tuttle
My heading might not be suggestive enough, but these numbers tell quite a telling tale:

On July 1st the LA Dodgers were to only team in baseball with (50) wins. Additionally, betting the Yankees had the 4th best record, and were (5) full wins behind LA. Now (as of August 16th), the Yanks have the best record in baseball @ (74-44), and they also possess the largest division lead (@ 7.5 over Boston), of all six divisions.

Currently (at most legitimate sportbooks), the Yankees can be purchased at odds of +225 to +250 to win the World Series. Personally, I think that is a GREAT “LTI” (Long-Term Investment), and allow me to expound a bit more….

On July 1st, the LA Dodgers still had the most wins in MLB, and were STILL (5) wins better than the Yanks. So, what’s the primary reason for these two teams current progression/regression states, and why I believe the Yanks to now be a small overlay @ +250?

Well, here are the facts: The Yanks have done what they’ve always done (since June 1st) they have an overall record of (29-10, and that includes today’s loss) vs. ALL teams with .500 or worse win percentages. I’ve referred to this as….”Beating-up on the bad teams”, in my book called “Betting Baseball 09″. Link to buy @ http://budurl.com/2gza Throughout all of the 90′s the Atlanta Braves and the New York Yankees were GREAT at “Beating-up on the bad teams”, and it led to a lot of their team’s successes; in my humble opinion.

At the risk of sounding redundant; on July 1st the Dodgers were (50-29), and the Yankees were (45-32) and since; the Yanks have gone (29-12), and the Dodgers are a mere (20-19), since July 1st. What caused this clear dichotomy? The Yanks since June 1st have played 9-more games vs. sub-.500 teams, and have an overall record of (29-10) versus such teams! And, the Dodgers are only a poultry (16-14) versus the same caliber opponent – within the same time-frame/parameters. The LA Dodgers are currently priced @ +450 or +500 at most books.

The “Value” clearly lies on the side of the Yankees! And just in case you were curious; the Yanks only play (4) more games this month vs. sub-.500 opponents!

This is the kind of “due-diligence necessary to become a winning professional gambler. And, whether you simply do not have the time nor the inclination to do this kind of research; all the more reason to becoming a paying member of either of my two sports betting advice websites!

www.totallyteasersonly.com or www.fbw4ever.com Allow my 152IQ to work for YOU, this Football Season!

p.s. Yesterday’s blog was accidentally deleted. My (6) NFL totals went (2-4). But, in my defense, two lost by 3 points or less!!!

Signed,

Joseph J Tuttle

Jonathon Niese, do you know him? Have you heard of him? If not, YOU WILL! He was a 7th round draft pick by the Mets in the 2005 draft, and he’s been “cultivated” by the Met organization. He’s only 23, but pitches more like he’s a 10-year veteran. Now, if some of you think that I’m totally “off my rocker”, or I might need new meds, you’re the ones that are sports betting waaaaaaaaaay off base…much pun intended!

And even though I’ve only seen him pitch once, I “know” he’s going to become a household name, soon! I’m a numbers guy, and here’s what his “numbers” tell me: Over 24.1 innings pitched, he’s actually faced a grand total of 107 batters; only allowing (1) HR!!! That’s well below 1%, and ANY PITCHER that only allows 2 to 2.5% of their batters faced to “go yard”, is doing quite well for their career! Additionally, he is a 4-pitch pitcher. And, he currently has the bare minimum 2 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio needed to become a real “threat” to opposing batters.

Furthermore, if/when he lowers that semi-abysmal WHIP (which currently resides @ 1.45), he just might be one of the bigger steals from that 2005 draft. Especially, when you consider that the #1 overall pick from the 2005 MLB Draft was Justin Upton. And for the record, Ryan Zimmerman went 4th, Ryan Braun went 5th, and the hard-throwing Ricky Romero, wound-up 6th, and another true “star” Troy Tulowitzki, went 7th overall.

In closing, my $19.95 Game of the Day is: Marlins @ Nats, and I’m strongly suggesting that any/all of of you reading this (especially, if you do not already have the MLB package), to go to MLB.TV and spend the 7.95 for the single-gamecast, and scout my ability to gauge talent, and watch/root for the young Mr. Niese to succeed.

p.s. I like the under 8.5 in tomorrow’s Cards/Mets game.