Archive for the 'Betting' Category

Betting NFL Preseason Football

Friday, May 28th, 2010

The NFL preseason can be very profitable to wager on. However many betters have no clue how to wager a NFL preseason football game. Many times football betters treat the preseason like the regular season and lose. Betting preseason football is entirely different than betting on a regular season game.

The NFL is truly the most popular sport in the United States. There are many reasons for this but that is not what is important. What is important because the NFL is so popular and tempting to wager on that many fans will not wait till opening day in September to start their football betting. Many fans will start betting in NFL games as soon as the NFL preseason starts. It is important preseason or not that you follow a football betting system.

Now if you are one those who loves the NFL so much that you will probably start betting in the preseason then there are a few tings you need to understand. Betting NFL preseason is very different than betting regular season games. We all know these are exhibition games where many unknown players are getting large amounts of play so the coaching staff can decide the fate of the player. This scares some people away from betting because they are not familiar with the unknown players. You can still make money on the preseason games but you must change your handicapping approach.

In the regular season the philosophy is that the best team shall win the games. This may not apply in preseason ball. When making football picks you need to research and discover which teams put more emphasis on winning and which teams traditionally fail to win preseason games. Let me give you an example.

Coach Jack Del Rio of the Jacksonville Jaguars is 18-10 straight up and 17-11 against the spread in preseason. Unfortunately last year in 2009, the Jags were just 1-3 straight up but only lost by a total combined 5 points in those 3 losses. Since Del Rio has been coaching the Jaguars they have always played well and usually win their preseason games. As a dog in the preseason the Jaguars are nearly perfect. Factor in that the Jaguars lost and failed to cover the last 4 games of the 2009 regular season makes them an interesting team to look at when the 2010 preseason starts.

To some coaches the preseason is about starting a winning streak and creating a winning atmosphere. Other coaches will lose the game simply because they are determined in playing weak unknown talent rather then make a few simple player adjustments to win the game. It comes down to just how important is it for a certain coaching staff to win a preseason game or to play their unknown players regardless if they can win or not.

New team coaches usually are eager to get that first win. Many times a new coach will make the first preseason game a priority to win in order to start a winning mentality. We have 3 teams with new coaches this coming 2010 season. The Washington Redskins with Mike Shanahan, the Seattle Seahawks with Pete Carroll and at last the Buffalo Bills with Chan Gailey. Look for these new coaches to make winning that first preseason a priority over everything else.

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A Method To Crackwin At Online Roulette

Friday, May 14th, 2010

This method can be very effective and has the potential to pay off in a short space of time. It works by locking in what you have already won and ensuring that bets cover what you have lost, thus providing an all round strategy that will be effective the vast majority of the time.

First observe the layout of the roulette wheel and the betting table. You will see the bets are divided into three columns. If the ball lands on a number in one of these columns the payout is 2-1, the chances of the ball actually landing on one of these columns is 3/37. This strategy will only work in online casinos as it works on basis that the random number generators used by online roulette casinos aren’t in fact completely random. They simply need to look random and as such the numbers will be distributed across the board and really random ‘runs’ in specific areas of the board are a lot more unlikely.

To try this system for free you can use the roulette wheel here roulette strategy

First give the roulette wheel a spin without betting and take note of where the ball lands (if you can’t spin without betting then simply bet one unit on red and one on black). Now take take the smallest chip you have and bet on the two sections that the ball did NOT land in. I would always suggest betting the lowest amount you can. Spin the wheel again and notice where the ball lands again. If it lands on one of your columns then take your winnings and look at the profit you have made. If you did not win you need to triple you bet on each column (this is why you need to start with a low amounts) and bet again on the column that the ball did not land on. Continue this strategy until you win again. It won’t take long and you would have made a profit equivalent to the size of your single stake. If this is 1 unit then you will make a profit of 1 unit every time you win. If you win 10 times in 20 minutes then that is a profit of 10 units.

The statistics of the ball landing in one of the two columns you have bet on is 6/37 therefore the odds of the ball NOT landing in a column you have bet on is 3/37 – The odds are in your favour. The odds of a ball not landing in a column you have bet on 2 times in a row is 3/37 x 3/37 which is extremely small.

This strategy, like any system in the casino, is by no means fool proof. However as you can see it does move the odds back towards your favour and, if you bet correctly, this can really me used to your advantage you maximise your profits.

If you would like to practice this system for free and without signing up for anything then look here online roulette system

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Interesting Baseball Handicapping Trends

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010

It is still early in the 2010 season but we have had a full month of games. Looking back at the last 30 days I can see some trends have flourished. Now a good baseball handicapper is always looking for a trend or streak along with the usual baseball statistics to make an accurate prediction. Here is what I see so far.

I am always looking at betting totals and I see a few worth while trends in full swing. Let’s take a look at the Arizona Diamondbacks. Now this team can score runs. Out of their first 24 games this season, 17 games have gone over the total number making their record on over plays 17-6-1. That is 74% of their games have gone over. This record leads all baseball teams right now.

Let’s break that down some more. The Diamondback while at home, 8 of 12 games have gone over the total or 67%. A little less of a percentage than the stat on all games played but still good enough for second place in all of baseball. On the road as a visitor the Diamondbacks lead baseball with 9-2-1 record against the total number. That is an amazing 82% of the time the runs goes over while playing on the road.

We can break it down even further. The Diamondbacks versus right handed starting pitcher are 12-6 or 67% over the total for all games played. Now it gets better, against a starting left handed pitcher the record is 5-0-1 or 100% over the total number. The Diamondback are definitely a team that is prone to go over the total regardless who and where they play. However, the chances are greatest of going over when playing on the road versus a starting left handed pitcher. This based on all their games played up to May 2, 2010.

The Diamondback just finished a series with the Cubs at Wrigley Field and now are heading to Houston to play the Astros. Looking at the Astros starting pitchers, I can see Wandy Rodriguez is a left handed pitcher. Rodriguez is currently 1-4 over the total number. You see that 1-4 mark and think well Rodriguez pitches low scoring games. Not necessarily true, in his first two starts his team the Astros scored zero runs. Out of all five of his starts the Astros only scored 9 runs all while they allowed 22 runs in those 5 starts. Astros just are not hitting the ball right now and the Diamondbacks are hitting very well.

The Astros while playing at home are 6-8-1 against the total or 43%. The average total runs scored in Astros home games is 8.5 and the average runs score in Diamondbacks road games is 12.8. Needless to say I am anticipating the line posted on the total this week when Wandy Rodriquez gets the start. Minute Maid Park in Houston typical is a pitchers ballpark and the total scores are on the low side. So, I am only interested in betting the total over in this series when Rodriguez, a left handed pitcher gets the start. According the Astros website, Rodriquez is the probable starting pitcher, for Thursdays May 6th match up with the Diamondbacks

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How To Bet Baseball

Saturday, May 8th, 2010

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports to bet on. There are many differences betting on baseball as opposed to football or basketball. Sports books get most of their action on football then basketball. Many don’t bet on baseball simply because baseball is primarily wagered using what is called a money line. This money line may look confusing but is actually makes it easier to pick winners.

People who watch sports nowadays seem to understand what the point spread is. You hear it all the time on Monday Night Football. A certain team is favorite by a touchdown. This is common sports talk. But you don’t here that a certain team is -170 or +150. No, that confuses a lot people when really is simple. When at a casino many people ask me “What does the Yankees minus 170 mean?” and “How do I bet that?” They see these strange numbers and think baseball is just too complicated to bet on as to football.

It really is not that complicated. What it means is if you bet Yankees at -170 and they win you collect $1 for every $1.70 you put down. Did you get that? What it is if you want to profit $100 you need bet $170 on the Yankees. Yankees now win and you collect $270 and profit $100. You probably are wondering why you have to put so much money to win $100. The reason is in this case the Yankees are the team that has better pitching, better hitting, perhaps they are playing at home or on a win streak. They are a better team then their opponent and most likely win this game. The nice thing is Yankees just have to win the game.

It does not matter by home many runs just win the game.
Now that is the scenario if the team is favorite, minus money line price. What about when the team is considered the weaker opponent and receive plus money line price. Lets say the Yankees instead are +150. Now you win $1.50 for every dollar you bet. So, if you bet $100 and Yankees win then you collect $250 and profit $150. Again the number of runs they win by does not matter, just win.
To sum it up you need only to select the team you feel will win however the payout you receive is based on the money line price the team was bet at.

I like the money line because I only have to worry about betting on the winning team. I hate how in football my team can win the game but fail to cover the bet. What make this tricky, too many people bet the team that has a bigger payout instead of betting the team that is more likely to win. They see an attractive money line at +200 and think if that team wins then they win twice as much. Remember bet the team not the price.

To learn more about winning baseball betting systems go to proven sports betting system

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The Cancelation Method Of Gambling

Sunday, May 2nd, 2010

This is a betting method that has been around for many years and used with varying degrees of success by generations of gamblers. It’s is also known as the cancelation method. It is a method that is applied to 1:1 bets, for example red or black in roulette. One man, Norman Leigh, even reckons to have broken a number of casinos in Nice during the 60’s with a reverse Labouchere system like this. If you would like to read about another online roulette system then have a look here roulette system

The system is relatively easy system to learn and apply. Firstly you need to write yourself a list of single digit numbers, they need not be sequential. For this article we will use the numbers 1, 3, 3, 2, 6, 4, 3, 6 . The sum amount you get when all the numbers are added together is the amount you are looking to win, here $28 – The key is not to want to win to much and pick a selection of small numbers. The player then stakes the sum of the first and the last digit on the list, for our list that would be $7. If only one number remains then this is the amount that is gambled. If the bet is won then both numbers are crossed off the list. If the bet is lost then the amount lost is added to the end of the list.

The theory behind this system works like this. The player crosses off 2 numbers every time he wins and adds only one every time he loses. Because of this you only need your colour to come in 33% of the time. The odds of winning on a red/black bet are just over 47% (not 50% because of the green 0) so at a quick glance it would seem like you are on to a good thing here. The largest problems you will come across will be either your bank roll and/or the table limits. For example, using our numbers above, if your result sequence was to go win, loss, loss, loss, loss then you would have won $14 with your first bet and then lost 6+9+12+15. So you would have won $14 but lost $42 and your next 50/50 bet will need to be a further $18 and seeing as you were only going to win $28 to start with the risk would be considered too high for some.

There are 2 keys to this system either don’t be too greedy, pick a lowselection of low numbers and work from there OR to find a roulette wheel online or off line that allows you to bet large amounts of money and make sure you have the bank roll to back this up.

In short there are a lot ofsystems to apply when gambling, none are completely effective, if they were we’d all be doing them and the casinos would have been out of businessa long time ago. However, good betting systems and structured wagers will, if nothing else, give a feeling of security to your bets. For further roulette systems to try have a look here online gambling guides.

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